Showing 1 - 10 of 45
The United States experienced a historic boom during the late 1990s and briefly into the new millennium, highlighted by rapid economic and productivity growth, surging corporate profitability, sustained business investment in many areas, including high technology and telecommunications, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352887
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are government sponsored enterprises (GSEs) with publicly traded equity. Although these companies hold government issued charters, their securities are not legally backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government. Yet, investors and rating agencies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352899
Empirical studies showed that firm-level volatility has been increasing but the aggregate volatility has been decreasing in the US for the post-war period. This paper proposes a unified explanation for these diverging trends. Our explanation is based on a story of financial development -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973890
Despite the growing concentration of U.S. banking assets in mega-banks, most academic research finds that scale and scope economies are small. I apply the survivor principle to the banking industry between 1984 and 2002 and find that the so-called economies of integration are significant. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005065546
Does growing commercial-bank reliance on Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLBank) advances increase expected losses to the Bank Insurance Fund (BIF)? Our approach to this question begins by modeling the link between advances and expected losses. We then quantify the effect of advances on default...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005065553
Research has documented that the first report an investment bank affiliated analyst issues on a newly listed stock tends to be favorable. Our analysis of 16,824 relationships between analyst teams and established listed companies during 1995-2003 indicates that analyst coverage decisions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490948
stochastic structure. This paper discusses in detail the speciation of a vector error correction forecasting model that is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360642
single data series. In principle, information about other economic indicators should be useful in forecasting a particular … growth at horizons of 3, 12 and 24 months ahead. These forecasts are then compared to simple forecasting rules. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352782
beat even a naive no-change model in out-of-sample forecasting. More recently, the use of sophisticated econometric … a small predictable component to exchange rates. This article reviews the literature on forecasting exchange rates with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352793
In this paper we model the U.S. economy parsimoniously in an a theoretic state space representation. We use monthly data for thirteen macroeconomic variables. We treat the federal deficit as a proxy for fiscal policy and the fed funds rate as a proxy for monetary policy and use each of them as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352818