Hernández-Murillo, Rubén; Owyang, Michael T.; Rubio, … - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2013
Past studies have argued that housing is an important driver of business cycles. Housing markets, however, are highly … localized, while business cycles are often measured at the national level. We model a national housing cycle using a panel of … cities that experience simultaneous idiosyncratic housing recessions. We estimate the clustered Markov-switching model …