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Does money matter in inflation forecasting?

Binner, Jane M.; Tino, Peter; Tepper, Jonathan; … - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2009

for forecasting US inflation in the early to mid 2000s. We explore a wide range of different definitions of money …, including different methods of aggregation and different collections of included monetary assets. In our forecasting experiment … forecasting models and are then compared to forecasts from a naive random walk model. The best models were non …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973888

Forecasting inflation and output: comparing data-rich models with simple rules

Gavin, William T.; Kliesen, Kevin L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2006

single data series. In principle, information about other economic indicators should be useful in forecasting a particular … growth at horizons of 3, 12 and 24 months ahead. These forecasts are then compared to simple forecasting rules. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352782

Forecasting inflation using interest rate and time-series models: some international evidence

Hafer, R.W.; Hein, Scott E. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 1988

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352934

Evaluating unconventional monetary policies -why aren’t they more effective?

Wen, Yi - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2013

We use a general equilibrium finance model that features explicit government purchases of private debts to shed light on some of the principal working mechanisms of the Federal Reserve’s large-scale asset purchases (LSAP) and their macroeconomic effects. Our model predicts that unless private...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010699995

Price level targeting: the Fed has it about right

Bullard, James - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2012

October 4, 2012. Presentation. "Price Level Targeting: The Fed Has It About Right." Presented at Economic Club of Memphis, Memphis, Tennessee.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727304

Demographics, redistribution, and optimal inflation

Bullard, James; Garriga, Carlos; Waller, Christopher J. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2012

May 30, 2012. "Demographics, Redistribution, and Optimal Inflation," with Carlos Garriga and Christopher J. Waller. Presented by Christopher Waller at the 2012 BOJ-IMES Conference Demographic Changes and Macroeconomic Performance.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727313

Three issues in learning and monetary policy

Bullard, James - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2008

Presented at Adaptive Learning in Macroeconomics. Sponsored by the Centre for International Macroeconomics and Finance (CIMF) and the Faculty of Economics of the University of Cambridge.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727320

Monetary policy, the tax code, and the real effects of energy shocks

Gavin, William T.; Keen, Benjamin D.; Kydland, Finn E. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2013

This paper develops a monetary model with taxes to account for the apparently asymmetric and time-varying effects of energy shocks on output and hours worked in post-World War II U.S. data. In our model, the real effects of an energy shock are amplified when the monetary authority responds to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010662819

Inflation, recession and Fed policy

Poole, William - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2002

Presentation to the Midwest Economic Education Conference, St. Louis - April 11, 2002

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185035

Flation

Poole, William - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2002

Presentation to the International Mass Retail Association (IMRA), Scottsdale, Ariz. - Jan. 21, 2002

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185114

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