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Inflation, recession and Fed policy
Poole, William - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2002
Presentation to the Midwest Economic Education Conference, St. Louis - April 11, 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420438
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Inflation, recession and Fed policy
Poole, William - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2002
Presentation to the Midwest Economic Education Conference, St. Louis - April 11, 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185035
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Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations
Kim, Chang-Jin; Piger, Jeremy M. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2001
, having only transitory effects. Statistical tests suggest both asymmetries were present in post-war recessions, although the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352751
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Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions
Kim, Chang-Jin; Morley, James; Piger, Jeremy - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2003
NBER-dated recessions and expansions. Also, the Markov-switching form of nonlinearity is statistically significant and the … “bounce-back” effect is large, implying that the permanent effects of recessions are small. Meanwhile, having accounted for … find larger permanent effects of recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352940
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Dynamic forecasts of qualitative variables: a Qual VAR model of U.S. recessions
Dueker, Michael J. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2003
This article presents a new Qual VAR model for incorporating information from qualitative and/or discrete variables in vector autoregressions. With a Qual VAR, it is possible to create dynamic forecasts of the qualitative variable using standard VAR projections. Previous forecasting methods for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352947
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The dynamic relationship between permanent and transitory components of U.S. business cycles
Kim, Chang-Jin; Piger, Jeremy; Startz, Richard - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2005
component leads switches in the transitory component when entering recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005353003
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Forecasting national recessions using state level data
Owyang, Michael T.; Piger, Jeremy M.; Wall, Howard J. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2012
aggregate economic activity variables, for forecasting U.S. business cycle phases (expansions and recessions.) In this paper, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551334
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QE2 in five easy pieces
Bullard, James - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2010
Delivered at the High Profile Speaker Series, New York Society of Security Analysts, New York City. November 8, 2010.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727307
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U.S. monetary policy at another crossroads
Bullard, James - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2011
Presented at the Annual Dealmakers Event, San Diego, California.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727312
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QE2: an assessment
Bullard, James - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2011
Quantitative Easing (QE) Conference. 30 June 2011, St. Louis, MO
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727327