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"This paper proposes a new tractable approach to solving multi-period asset allocation problems. We assume that investor preferences are defined over moments of the terminal wealth distribution such as its skew and kurtosis. Time-variations in investment opportunities are driven by a regime...
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stock returns, a more complicated four state model with regimes characterized as crash, slow growth, bull and recovery … form. Exits from the crash state are almost always to the recovery state and occur with close to 50 percent chance … suggesting a bounce-back effect from the crash to the recovery state"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site …
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