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"This paper studies strategic asset allocation and consumption choice in the presence of regime switching in asset returns. We find evidence that four separate regimes - characterized as crash, slow growth, bull and recovery states - are required to capture the joint distribution of stock and...
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returns over long periods of time. However, the approach to risk adjustment has typically been rather cursory, and has tended … to focus on the CAPM. We examine the returns to a set of dynamic trading rules and look at the explanatory power of a … wide range of models: CAPM, quadratic CAPM, C‐CAPM, Carhart’s 4‐factor model, an extended C‐CAPM with durable consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027337
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We construct monthly economic-activity indices for 51 U.S. metropolitan statistical areas for 1990 to 2014. Each index is computed via a dynamic factor model that includes 14 variables measuring various aspects of economic activity in a metro area. We estimate the dynamic factor model using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027333
We investigate the role of jumps in transmitting volatility between foreign exchange markets (Engle, Ito, and Lin, 1990; Melvin and Peiers Melvin, 2003; Cai, Howorka, and Wongswan, 2008). We show that recently developed estimators have very different implications for the impact of jumps on exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951615
methods are applied to a simple portfolio selection problem involving choosing between a stock index and a risk-free asset in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917583
"This paper finds strong evidence of time-variations in the joint distribution of returns on a stock market portfolio and portfolios tracking size--and value effects. Mean returns, volatilities and correlations between these equity portfolios are found to be driven by underlying regimes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917584