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Markov regime switching and unit root tests
Nelson, Charles R. (contributor); Zivot, Eric (contributor);  … - 2001 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001965291
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Can Markov switching models predict excess foreign exchange returns?
Dueker, Michael (contributor);  … - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001964834
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Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations
Kim, Chang-jin (contributor); Piger, Jeremy Max (contributor) - 2001 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001965274
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Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions
Clark, Todd E.; McCracken, Michael W. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2014
Many forecasts are conditional in nature. For example, a number of central banks routinely report forecasts conditional on particular paths of policy instruments. Even though conditional forecasting is common, there has been little work on methods for evaluating conditional forecasts. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938567
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Modeling volcker as a non-absorbing state : agnostic identification of a markov-switching VAR
Owyang, Michael T. (contributor) - 2002 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001974169
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Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM : implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle
Francis, Neville (contributor);  … - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001978121
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Foreign exchange rates dont́ follow a random walk
Guo, Hui (contributor); Savickas, Robert (contributor) - 2005
"The paper documents a new empirical result that a high level of aggregate U.S. idiosyncratic stock return volatility … currencies. For example, idiosyncratic volatility accounts for over 20 percent variations of the subsequent change in the … between a country's aggregate idiosyncratic volatility and the future U.S. dollar price of its currency--in France, Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002995302
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Forecasting foreign exchange volatility : is implied volatility the best we can do?
Neely, Christopher J. (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001974118
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Predicting exchange rate volatility : genetic programming vs. GARCH and RiskMetrics
Neely, Christopher J. (contributor);  … - 2001 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001941461
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How well do monetary fundamentals forecast exchange rates?
Neely, Christopher J. (contributor);  … - 2002 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001971215