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"This paper studies strategic asset allocation and consumption choice in the presence of regime switching in asset returns. We find evidence that four separate regimes - characterized as crash, slow growth, bull and recovery states - are required to capture the joint distribution of stock and...
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from the loan performance database on securitized private-label pool collateral, we utilize a two-step estimation procedure … to control for the endogeneity of delinquency in an estimation of default and prepayment probabilities. We find strong … support for the "distressed prepayment" theory that very delinquent loans are more likely to prepay than to default and that …
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"One basic problem in business-cycle studies is how to deal with nonstationary time series. The market economy is an evolutionary system. Economic time series therefore contain stochastic components that are necessarily time dependent. Traditional methods of business cycle analysis, such as the...
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