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"In the presence of infrequent but observable structural breaks, we show that a model in which the representative agent is on a rational learning path concerning the real consumption growth process can generate high equity premia and low risk-free interest rates. In fact, when the model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917582
"We show that when in Lucas trees model the process for dividends is described by a lattice tree subject to infrequent but observable structural breaks, in equilibrium recursive rational learning may inflate the equity risk premium and reduce the risk-free interest rate for low levels of risk...
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We examine the effects of endogenously determined realignment expectations in a model of a target zone with sluggish price adjustment. We allow these expectations to be based on a policy rule that generates an increasing probability of realignment as output moves away from full employment. We...
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to construct quarterly gross credit flows (credit expansion and credit contraction series) for the U.S. banking system … during the period 1999:Q1-2008:Q4 and provide new evidence on changes in lending. We show that credit expansion, as defined … in this paper, began declining during the first half of 2008 while credit contraction began steeply increasing only …
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innovation can be applied to closely related environments used elsewhere in the literature that study insurance and credit … markets under limited commitment and private information. The analysis demonstrates clearly how insurance, credit, and money …
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We investigate the pairwise correlations of 11 U.S. fixed income yield spreads over a sample that includes the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2009. Using cross-sectional methods and non- parametric bootstrap breakpoint tests, we characterize the crisis as a period in which pairwise correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010607625