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model does a good job of accounting for the joint behavior of labor and goods markets, as well as inflation, during the … capital played critical roles in accounting for the small size of the drop in inflation that occurred during the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787055
trend inflation during Volcker's mandate was a key factor behind the Great Moderation. We revisit this finding with an … estimated New-Keynesian model with trend inflation and no indexation based on Christiano, Eichenbaum and Evans (2005). First …, our simulations confirm Coibion and Gorodnichenko's (2011) main finding. Second, we show that a trend inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268461
to maintain reputation outweighs the short-run incentive to close consumption and inflation gaps, keeping the central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886221
The 2007-2009 recession is characterized by: a large drop in employment, an unprecedented decline in firm entry, and a slow recovery. Using confidential firm-level data, I show that financial constraints reduced employment growth in small relative to large firms by 4.8 to 10.5 percentage points....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886223
This paper studies the domestic and international effects of national bank market integration in a two-country, dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium model with endogenous producer entry. Integration of banking across localities reduces the degree of local monopoly power of financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886231
Micro- and macro-level evidence indicates that fluctuations in idiosyncratic uncertainty have a large effect on investment; the impact of uncertainty on investment occurs primarily through changes in credit spreads; and innovations in credit spreads have a strong effect on investment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937972
This paper uses the historical narrative record to determine whether inflation expectations shifted during the second … and the forecasts of contemporary business analysts, we show that inflation expectations increased dramatically. Second …, using an event-studies approach, we identify the impact on financial markets of the key events that shifted inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273691
Using U.S. data from 1929 to 2013, we show that elevated credit-market sentiment in year t-2 is associated with a decline in economic activity in years t through t+2. Underlying this result is the existence of predictable mean reversion in credit-market conditions. That is, when our sentiment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273704
strengthen the countercyclical behavior of markups and attenuate the response of inflation to fluctuations in output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255348
The Great Financial Crisis coincided with a sizable reduction in global external imbalances, defined as the absolute value of the sum of individual country current account surpluses and deficits relative to global GDP. Although current account balances should not respond to a downturn that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011119889