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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005724054
While macroeconometricians continue to dispute the size, timing, and even the existence of effects of monetary policy, political economists often find large effects of political variables and often attribute the effects to manipulation of the Fed. Since the political econometricians often use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498761
This paper presents a new way to assess robustness of claims from identified VAR work. All possible identifications are checked for the one that is worst for the claim, subject to the restriction that the VAR produce reasonable impulse responses to shocks. The statistic on which the claim is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498828
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721237
aggregates at all. We begin by considering the body of thought known as the "quantity theory of money." The quantity theory … the nominal money stock. The nominal homogeneity conditions that deliver the quantity-theory result are the same as those … that deliver monetary neutrality, an important principle behind policy formulation. The quantity theory implies a ceteris …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764380
The object of this paper is to develop an operational early warning system (EWS) that can detect financial crises. To achieve this goal the paper analyzes and extends the early warning system developed by Kaminsky, Lizondo, and Reinhart (1998) and Kaminsky and Reinhart (1999) that is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368179
In his seminal 1960 study on the dynamics of alternative exchange rate regimes, Robert Mundell proposed a theory of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368402
demand for broad money in the United Kingdom over 1878-1975. We update that model over 1976-1993, accounting for changed data … follow for parameter nonconstancy and predictive failure, causation between money and prices, monetary targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368427
The abruptness and virulence of the 1997 Asian crises have led many to claim that these crises are of a new breed and thus they were unforecastable. This paper examines 102 financial crises in 20 countries and concludes that the Asian crises are not of a new variety. Overall, the 1997 Asian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368480
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010725178