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this assumption. In this paper, we propose robust procedures for a residual-based test of cointegration when the data are … cointegration tests may be subject to substantial size distortions and standard OLS inference may lead to spurious results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368190
Cointegration requires all the variables in the system to have exact unit roots; accordingly it is conventional for … researchers to test for a unit root in each variable prior to a cointegration analysis. Unfortunately, these unit root tests are … not powerful. Meanwhile, conventional cointegration methods are not at all robust to slight violations of the requirement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368250
We investigate the properties of Johansen's (1988, 1991) maximum eigenvalue and trace tests for cointegration under the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368330
-equation error correction statistic for testing cointegration. Graphs and response surfaces summarize extensive Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368469
from eight developed and six emerging economies, we test the expectations hypothesis using cointegration methods under the … assumption that interest rates are near integrated. If the null hypothesis of no cointegration is rejected, we then test whether … support for cointegration in ten of the fourteen countries we consider, and the cointegrating vector is similar across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712806
Cointegration theory provides a flexible class of statistical models that combine long-run relationships and short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005393737
We derive a definition of linear cointegration for nonlinear stochastic processes using a martingale representation … assumption of linearity. We propose a sequential nonparametric method to test first for cointegration and second for nonlinear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005513026
Recent years have seen large increases in the prices of houses, farm products, and oil, often with little clear connection to economic fundamentals. These price increases created plausibly exogenous shifts in demand for construction, farm, and mining machinery. This paper uses these demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008799657
At a macroeconomic level, infrastructure and productivity are positively correlated in the United States and other … infrastructure to productivity, or the reverse. This paper focuses on roads, and finds that vehicle-intensive industries benefit … disproportionately from road-building: when road growth changes, productivity growth changes more in industries that are more vehicle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368200
countries. The paper begins by surveying earlier estimates of relative productivity and unit labor cost levels and evaluating … productivity translated into dollars at purchasing power parity exchange rates. These estimates are compared with results obtained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368260