Showing 1 - 10 of 94
Shimer (2005) argues that the Mortensen-Pissarides (MP) model of unemployment lacks an amplification mechanism because … it generates less than 10 percent of the observed business cycle fluctuations in unemployment given labor productivity … correctly identify the shocks driving unemployment. Using a New-Keynesian framework to control for the endogeneity of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008633416
This paper presents new empirical evidence on the cyclical behavior of US unemployment that poses a challenge to … standard search and matching models. The correlation between cyclical unemployment and the cyclical component of labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721107
model does a good job of accounting for the joint behavior of labor and goods markets, as well as inflation, during the … capital played critical roles in accounting for the small size of the drop in inflation that occurred during the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787055
We survey the evidence bearing on measurement error in the CPI and provide our best estimate of the magnitude of CPI bias. We also identify a "weighting" bias in the CPI that has not been previously discussed in the literature. In total, we estimate that the CPI overstates the change in the cost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005394002
For G-7 countries over the period 1961-1990, there appears to be a strong and stable negative correlation between annual changes in the current account and investment. Here we explore this correlation using a highly tractable empirical model that distinguishes between global and country-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712792
to the aggregate economy and that nondefense spending (growth) appears to be white noise. Further, the unemployment rate … has a very high coherency at the business cycle frequencies with unemployment insurance but far smaller coherency with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005720996
This paper investigates industry-level effects of government purchases in order to shed light on the transmission mechanism for government spending on the aggregate economy. We begin by highlighting the different theoretical predictions concerning the effects of government spending on industry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498945
This paper uses news reports about two deficit-reduction laws of the past decade to identify days when expected fiscal policy clearly became more or less expansionary. The paper also proposes a technique for identifying whether the real interest rate increased or decreased on those days, based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005394046
and spending-policy actions, for short--in the United States. First, we estimate simple models of defense expenditures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005394215
Contrary to simple theoretical predictions, previous empirical research has found that state government public spending is increased far more, often dollar-for-dollar, by federal grant receipts than by equivalent increases in constituent private income. This anomaly has come to be known as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005513073