Roberts, John M.; Morin, Norman J. - Federal Reserve Board (Board of Governors of the … - 1999
We look for evidence of "hysteresis" in the U.S. unemployment rate - that is, that current labor market outcomes affect … the future equilibrium level of the unemployment rate. We first examine (using a variety of econometric tests for unit … roots) whether the unemployment rate tends to come back to a long-run average over time. On balance, our results suggest …