Bekaert, Geert; Engstrom, Eric; Xing, Yuhang - Federal Reserve Board (Board of Governors of the … - 2005
We identify the relative importance of changes in the conditional variance of fundamentals (which we call "uncertainty …") and changes in risk aversion ("risk" for short) in the determination of the term structure, equity prices, and risk … premiums. Theoretically, we introduce persistent time-varying uncertainty about the fundamentals in an external habit model …