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This paper studies the sources of economic fluctuations in three key Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico) using a dynamic panel model, distinguishing between external and domestic shocks. The primary motivation is to examine the implications for the choice of monetary and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368163
In this paper we develop a modified "early warning system" (EWS) approach to identifying the roles of domestic and external factors in Latin America's crises. Several probit models of balance-of-payments crises, based on different identified sets of crisis dates, were estimated for six Latin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368350
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010725208
a speech at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research Economic Summit, Stanford, California; February 11, 2005
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010725583
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717707
At a macroeconomic level, infrastructure and productivity are positively correlated in the United States and other … infrastructure to productivity, or the reverse. This paper focuses on roads, and finds that vehicle-intensive industries benefit … disproportionately from road-building: when road growth changes, productivity growth changes more in industries that are more vehicle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368200
countries. The paper begins by surveying earlier estimates of relative productivity and unit labor cost levels and evaluating … productivity translated into dollars at purchasing power parity exchange rates. These estimates are compared with results obtained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368260
Productivity rises in booms and falls in recessions. There are four main explanations for procyclical productivity: (i … are particularly important in explaining procyclical productivity. We argue that the reallocation effects that we identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368278
Explanations of procyclical productivity playa key role in a variety of business-cycle models. Most of these models … aggregate productivity changes into several terms, each of which has an economic interpretation. However, many of these tenus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368386
Most growth models assume capital is homogeneous. This contradicts intuition and empirical evidence that the majority of technology is embodied in the capital stock. Classic papers from the late 1950's and 1960's show that non-optimization models display the same asymptotic growth rates whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368406