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We analyze a model of anomaly discovery. Consistent with existing evidence, we show that the discovery of an anomaly reduces its magnitude and increases its correlation with existing anomalies. One new prediction is that the discovery of an anomaly reduces the correlation between deciles 1 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268463
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This paper develops an intertemporal, international asset pricing model for use in applied theoretical and empirical research. An important feature of the model is that it incorporates both stochastic inflation rates and stochastic Purchasing Power Parity deviations (PPP). The model derives the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368178
This paper develops and applies a new maximum likelihood method for estimating the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368415
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005514193
A large body of literature has failed to find conclusive evidence that the expectations theory of the term structure … holds in U.S. data. This paper asks more narrowly whether the theory holds conditional on an exogenous change in monetary … policy. We argue that previous work on the expectation theory has failed to sufficiently account for interactions between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368155
This paper documents the impact of U.S. monetary policy announcement surprises on foreign equity indexes, short- and long-term interest rates, and exchange rates in 49 countries. We use two proxies for monetary policy surprises: the surprise change to the current target federal funds rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368193
This paper studies recent models of the liquidity effect of money on interest rates to determine if a systematic relationship between liquidity shocks and the economy could affect the average real interest rate.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368236
High real interest rates have been observed in many countries for several months after the adoption of disinflation programs. While they may reflect primarily a liquidity crunch, high ex post real interest rates can also be explained in terms of an ex post error in inflation expectations that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368241
effects can be reconciled with conventional theory, we interpret the joint movements in light of uncovered interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368249