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After reaching the effective lower bound for the federal funds rate in late 2008, the Federal Reserve turned to two unconventional policy tools--quantitative easing and increasingly explicit and forward-leaning guidance for the future path of the federal funds rate--in order to provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273701
This paper uses the historical narrative record to determine whether inflation expectations shifted during the second quarter of 1933, precisely as the recovery from the Great Depression took hold. First, by examining the historical news record and the forecasts of contemporary business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273691
Firms with limited internal liquidity significantly increased prices in 2008, while their liquidity unconstrained counterparts slashed prices. Differences in the firms' price-setting behavior were concentrated in sectors likely characterized by customer markets. We develop a model, in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255348
This paper studies consumers' inflation expectations using micro-level data from the Surveys of Consumers conducted by University of Michigan. It shows that beyond the well-established socio-economic factors such as income, age or gender, other characteristics such as the households' financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261278
productivity shock and positively by the output gap. Lagged real interest rate has a negative effect on prices, unless human …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075123
Working with a small-scale calibrated New-Keynesian model, Coibion and Gorodnichenko (2011) find that the reduction in trend inflation during Volcker's mandate was a key factor behind the Great Moderation. We revisit this finding with an estimated New-Keynesian model with trend inflation and no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268461
This study examines the impact of productivity growth on the relationship between inflation and unemployment in Canada …. Recently it has been suggested that higher productivity growth is responsible for a shift in the U.S. Phillips curve that … United States, and the degree to which higher productivity growth explains this shift. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368166
This paper uses an open economy DSGE model to explore how trade openness affects the transmission of domestic shocks. For some calibrations, closed and open economies appear dramatically different, reminiscent of the implications of Mundell-Fleming style models. However, we argue such stark...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368202
In this paper we first present supporting evidence of the existence of heterogeneity in inflation dynamics across euro area countries. Based on the estimation of New Phillips Curves for five major countries of the euro area, we find that there is significant inertial (backward looking) behavior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372538
We explore a hypothesis about the take-off in inflation that occurred in the early 1970s. According to the expectations trap hypothesis, the Fed was pushed into producing the high inflation out of a fear of violating the public's inflation expectations. We compare this hypothesis with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372608