Showing 1 - 10 of 36
This paper uses a set of post-extraction information trees to generally model diverse information and agent specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368150
This paper analyzes panel data inference in predictive regressions with endogenous and nearly persistent regressors. The standard fixed effects estimator is shown to suffer from a second order bias; analytical results, as well as Monte Carlo evidence, show that the bias and resulting size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368156
Using recently developed Monte Carlo methodology, this paper investigates the effect of dynamics and simultaneity on the finite sample properties of maximum likelihood and instrumental variables statistics for testing both nested and non-nested hypotheses. Numerical-analytical approximations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368195
We propose a parametric spectral estimation procedure for contructing heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) covariance matrices. We establish the consistency of this procedure under very general conditions similar to those considered in previous research. We also perform Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368227
In the standard linear instrumental variables regression model, it must be assumed that the instruments are correlated … relevance by a first-stage F-test. Identification issues also arise in the generalized method of moments model, of which the … linear instrumental variables model is a special case. But I know of no means, in the existing literature, of testing for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368246
This paper provides an introduction to predictable forecast uncertainty in empirical economic modelling. The sources of both predictable and unpredictable forecast uncertainty are categorized. Key features of predictable forecast uncertainty are illustrated by several analytical models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368311
be studied independently of each other. To relax these assumptions, the paper assembles a simultaneous model explaining … bilateral U.S. import volumes and prices. Spending behaves according to the Rotterdam model which, by design, embodies all of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368332
Many recent papers have tried to identify behavioral disturbances in vector autoregressions (VAR's) by imposing restrictions on the long-run effects of shocks. This paper argues that this approach will support reliable struc­tured inferences only if the underlying economy satisfies strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368342
This paper presents a method for solving a system of first order linear differential equations with constant coefficients when the elements of the forcing vector are step functions. The analysis presented in the text has been programmed for use in the computer simulation of linear continuous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368404
"Monte Carlo experimentation in econometrics helps 'solve' deterministic problems by simulating stochastic analogues in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368405