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Using data on developing economies, we estimate a flexible semiparametric panel data model that incorporates potentially nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth. We find that inflation is associated with significantly lower growth only after it reaches about 12 percent, which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886222
We study a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which agents are concerned about model uncertainty regarding … from climate change to damages is subject to uncertainty, and we use robust control theory techniques to study efficiency … dynamic optimal taxation. A small increase in the concern about model uncertainty can cause a significant drop in optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937973
managers are risk averse, they might underinvest when firm-specific uncertainty increases, leading to suboptimal investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395278
A consumption-based asset pricing model with risk and uncertainty implies that the time-varying exposures of equity … portfolios to the market and uncertainty factors carry positive risk premiums. The empirical results from the size, book … (individual stocks) with market and uncertainty predict the time series and cross-sectional variation in stock returns. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009366961
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010725253
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a speech at the 32nd Annual Economic Policy Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (via videoconference)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010725318
Using a new-Keynesian model with endogenous capital accumulation, I show that uncertainty about fiscal policy can cause … monetary authority is not constrained by the ZLB. I study uncertainty about the level of government spending and uncertainty … about tax rates on consumption, wages, capital income, and investment. In my model, uncertainty about government spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784154
This paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports. Industries where the threat of tariff hikes declines the most experience more severe employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784166
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717691