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Are optimism shocks an important source of business cycle fluctuations? Are deficit-financed tax cuts better than deficit-financed spending to increase output? These questions have been previously studied using SVARs identified with sign and zero restrictions and the answers have been positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784198
Estimated dynamic models of business cycles in emerging markets deliver counterfactual predictions for the country risk premium. In particular, the country interest rate predicted by these models is acyclical or procyclical, whereas it is countercyclical in the data. This paper proposes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075149
exacerbated by their inability to extend credit to the real sector. The event triggering the recession has the workings of a … recapitalizing or by deleveraging. By deleveraging, banks transform the initial shock into a credit crunch, and, to the extent that … some firms depend on bank credit, amplify and propagate the shock to the real economy. I find that redistribution and other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010892324
There exists an extensive literature estimating idiosyncratic labor income processes. While a wide variety of models are estimated, GMM estimators are almost always used. We examine the validity of using likelihood based estimation in this context by comparing the small sample properties of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784169
We estimate a reduced-form model of credit risk that incorporates stochastic volatility in default intensity via …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273702
likely facilitated by, among other factors, a loosening of credit terms related to OTC derivatives and securities financing … transactions. However, little or no systematic data on these trends were available at the time. The new Senior Credit Officer … new survey provides qualitative information about changes in credit terms and conditions across the entire range of these …
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