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In this paper, we extract common factors from a cross-section of U.S. macro-variables and Treasury zero-coupon yields. We find that two macroeconomic factors have an important predictive content for government bond yields and excess returns. These factors are not spanned by the cross-section of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886225
This paper estimates an arbitrage-free term structure model with both observable yield factors and Treasury and Agency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784178
In the mid-2000s, federal bank regulatory agencies became alarmed by steadily increasing concentrations of commercial real estate (CRE) loans at many banks, particularly loans used to finance construction and land development (CLD). In January 2006, they issued guidance that required banks with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886224
changing expectation of credit losses with a model-free method. Using a log-linearized pricing identity and a vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010892308
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361181
We examine differences in default rates by sector and obligor domicile. We find evidence that credit ratings have been imperfectly calibrated across issuer sectors in the past. Controlling for year of issue and rating, default rates appear to be higher for U.S. financial firms than for U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368242
portfolio size and degree of risk aversion of potential investors, the ability to borrow, and the hedging opportunities provided …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368265
"correlation breakdown." As a result, risk managers worry that their hedges will be useless when they are most needed, namely …. We make this point analytically, by way of several numerical examples, and via an empirical illustration. ; But, risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368286
Risk management information systems are designed to overcome the problem of aggregating data across diverse trading … units. The design of an information system depends on the risk measurement methodology that a firm chooses. Inherent in the … design of both a risk management information system and a risk measurement methodology is a tradeoff between the accuracy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368299
on trade flows. This paper builds a theoretical model in which exchange rate variability has a negative effect on the … level of trade. The model is calibrated to observed trade flows and real exchange rates. Simulation of the model … to a wide range of parameter values. Moreover, reasonable extensions of the model only serve to minimize further the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368341