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This paper studies the business-cycle fluctuations predicted by a two-sector endogenous-business-cycle model with sector-specific external increasing returns to scale. It focuses on aspects of actual fluctuations that have been identified both as defining features of the business cycle and as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721004
A stable predictive relationship between inflation and the output gap, often referred to as a Phillips curve, provides the basis for countercyclical monetary policy in many models. In this paper, we evaluate the usefulness of alternative univariate and multivariate estimates of the output gap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005393999
Asymmetries in price adjustment can reconcile contrasts between rapid price movements in inflationary episodes, consistent with classical theories of flexible pricing, and sluggish price responses in contractions, consistent with Keynesian theories of sticky price adjustments. Nonparametric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005513042
We study a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which agents are concerned about model uncertainty regarding … from climate change to damages is subject to uncertainty, and we use robust control theory techniques to study efficiency … dynamic optimal taxation. A small increase in the concern about model uncertainty can cause a significant drop in optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937973
managers are risk averse, they might underinvest when firm-specific uncertainty increases, leading to suboptimal investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395278
A consumption-based asset pricing model with risk and uncertainty implies that the time-varying exposures of equity … portfolios to the market and uncertainty factors carry positive risk premiums. The empirical results from the size, book … (individual stocks) with market and uncertainty predict the time series and cross-sectional variation in stock returns. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009366961
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010725253
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010725314
a speech at the 32nd Annual Economic Policy Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (via videoconference)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010725318
Using a new-Keynesian model with endogenous capital accumulation, I show that uncertainty about fiscal policy can cause … monetary authority is not constrained by the ZLB. I study uncertainty about the level of government spending and uncertainty … about tax rates on consumption, wages, capital income, and investment. In my model, uncertainty about government spending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784154