Bekaert, Geert; Engstrom, Eric; Xing, Yuhang - Federal Reserve Board (Board of Governors of the … - 2005
, uncertainty plays a large role in the term structure and is the driver of counter-cyclical volatility of asset returns. …We identify the relative importance of changes in the conditional variance of fundamentals (which we call "uncertainty …") and changes in risk aversion ("risk" for short) in the determination of the term structure, equity prices, and risk …