Showing 1 - 10 of 117
In this paper, we extract common factors from a cross-section of U.S. macro-variables and Treasury zero-coupon yields. We find that two macroeconomic factors have an important predictive content for government bond yields and excess returns. These factors are not spanned by the cross-section of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886225
") and changes in risk aversion ("risk" for short) in the determination of the term structure, equity prices, and risk … asset market phenomena. While the variation in dividend yields and the equity risk premium is primarily driven by risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005514167
volatility risk. While pointing out the joint pricing kernel is not identified nonparametrically, we propose model-free estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886219
The Federal Reserve (Fed) uses a unique auction mechanism to purchase U.S. Treasury securities in implementing its quantitative easing (QE) policy. In this paper, we study the outcomes of QE auctions and participating dealers' bidding behaviors from November 2010 to September 2011, during which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886228
This paper provides a closed-form solution for the price-dividend ratio in a standard asset pricing model with stochastic volatility. The solution is useful in allowing comparisons among numerical methods used to approximate the non-trivial closed-form.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010937975
We estimate a reduced-form model of credit risk that incorporates stochastic volatility in default intensity via …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273702
credit-market conditions. That is, when our sentiment proxies indicate that credit risk is aggressively priced, this tends to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273704
We study whether stock market returns in oil-exporting countries can be predicted by oil price changes, and we investigate the link between predictability and the quality of each country's institutions. Returns are predictable for half the countries we consider, and predictability is stronger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255347
We propose a new decomposition of the variance risk premium in terms of upside and downside variance risk premia. The … difference between upside and downside variance risk premia is a measure of skewness risk premium. We establish that the downside … variance risk premium is the main component of the variance risk premium, and that the skewness risk premium is a priced factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261280
In this paper, we examine how learning about disaster risk affects asset pricing in an endowment economy. We extend the … generates time variation in the risk premium through Bayesian updating of agents' beliefs regarding the likelihood and severity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010728883