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Do governments default on debt denominated in their own currency? We introduce a new measure of sovereign credit risk, the local currency credit spread, defined as the spread of local currency bonds over the synthetic local currency risk-free rate constructed using cross currency swaps. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010728889
The expansion in financial sector "safe" assets, largely in the form of structured products from the U.S. and the Caribbean, in the lead-up to the global financial crisis has by now been fairly well documented. Using a unique dataset derived from security-level data on U.S. portfolio holdings of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075153
Estimates of investor expectations of government support of large financial firms are often based on large financial firms' lower borrowing costs relative to smaller financial firms. Using pricing data on credit default swaps (CDS) and corporate bonds over the period 2004 to 2013, however, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268455
I develop a macroeconomic model with a financial sector, in which banks can finance risky projects (loans) and can affect their quality by exerting a costly screening effort. Informational frictions regarding the observability of loan characteristics limit the amount of external funds that banks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268457
Dealers in over-the-counter securities form networks to mitigate search frictions. The audit trail for municipal bonds shows the dealer network has a core-periphery structure. Central dealers are more efficient at matching buyers and sellers than peripheral dealers, which shortens intermediation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095300
Recent years have seen large increases in the prices of houses, farm products, and oil, often with little clear connection to economic fundamentals. These price increases created plausibly exogenous shifts in demand for construction, farm, and mining machinery. This paper uses these demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008799657
At a macroeconomic level, infrastructure and productivity are positively correlated in the United States and other … infrastructure to productivity, or the reverse. This paper focuses on roads, and finds that vehicle-intensive industries benefit … disproportionately from road-building: when road growth changes, productivity growth changes more in industries that are more vehicle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368200
countries. The paper begins by surveying earlier estimates of relative productivity and unit labor cost levels and evaluating … productivity translated into dollars at purchasing power parity exchange rates. These estimates are compared with results obtained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368260
Productivity rises in booms and falls in recessions. There are four main explanations for procyclical productivity: (i … are particularly important in explaining procyclical productivity. We argue that the reallocation effects that we identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368278
Explanations of procyclical productivity playa key role in a variety of business-cycle models. Most of these models … aggregate productivity changes into several terms, each of which has an economic interpretation. However, many of these tenus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368386