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This paper uses the historical narrative record to determine whether inflation expectations shifted during the second … and the forecasts of contemporary business analysts, we show that inflation expectations increased dramatically. Second …, using an event-studies approach, we identify the impact on financial markets of the key events that shifted inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273691
strengthen the countercyclical behavior of markups and attenuate the response of inflation to fluctuations in output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255348
This paper studies consumers' inflation expectations using micro-level data from the Surveys of Consumers conducted by … inflation. Equivalent results are found during recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261278
empirical stylized facts. Pricing patterns mostly conform to these patterns. Most price changes are positive, and inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075123
to model and shock misperceptions, and parameter uncertainty. Targeting inflation in both consumer and intermediate goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721067
expected inflation. The inability of the Fed to maintain a credible commitment to low interest rates in the face of increased … government spending and rising inflation led to the Fed-Treasury Accord of March 1951. Following the Accord, the external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787050
In this paper, we consider whether long-term inflation expectations have become better anchored in Brazil, Chile, and … Mexico. We do so using survey-based measures as well as financial market-based measures of long-term inflation expectations …, where we construct the market-based measures from daily prices on nominal and inflation-linked bonds. This paper is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784200
ZLB constraints, the anticipation of future ZLB episodes creates a trade-off between inflation and output stabilization …. As a consequence, inflation systematically falls below target even when the policy rate is above zero. A conservative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115660
During Apartheid, there was little need for redistributional policies or to borrow for public works since the vast majority of the population was underserved. With the arrival of a representative democracy in 1994, however, South Africa faced a unique problem--providing new and improved public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004967528
The simultaneous occurrence of devaluation and recession in Mexico in 1995, as well as in the East Asian economies more recently, appears to contradict the conventional view that devaluations are expansionary. Moreover, a sizeable theoretical and empirical literature also argues that, contrary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372600