-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Two conflicting motives drive policy. In the static version of the model, uncertainty provides …

change that renders the natural rates of interest and unemployment uncertain. Using a forward-looking quarterly model of the … rules do not require knowledge of the natural rates of interest or unemployment for setting policy and are consequently …

This paper develops a simple framework for examining human capital accumulation, unemployment, and relative wages in a …, technical change, and a productivity slowdown. We derive the consequences for the skilled-to unskilled wage gap, unemployment …

despite declines in unemployment rates. For the United States, these seemingly contradictory developments have been reconciled … natural unemployment rate (NAIRU), and (3) improved credibility of monetary policy. Here we ask whether comparable factors … between inflation, the unemployment rate, and structural factors using an extended Phillips curve model with quarterly data …

I examine whether the cyclical behavior of unemployment has changed over the post WWII period. Specifically, I test … whether cyclical movements in unemployment have become more persistent. Finding that they have, indeed, become more persistent … payroll employment as well as unemployment and that increased persistence appears to be widespread across industries. At the …