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The most common New-Keynesian model--with sticky-prices--has potentially implausible implications in a zero-lower bound environment. Fiscal and forward guidance multipliers can be implausibly large. Moreover, the sticky-price model implies that positive supply shocks, such as an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784172
This paper uses the historical narrative record to determine whether inflation expectations shifted during the second … and the forecasts of contemporary business analysts, we show that inflation expectations increased dramatically. Second …, using an event-studies approach, we identify the impact on financial markets of the key events that shifted inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273691
This paper studies consumers' inflation expectations using micro-level data from the Surveys of Consumers conducted by … inflation. Equivalent results are found during recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261278
potentially nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth. We find that inflation is associated with significantly lower … effects of inflation on economic growth. We also document significant variation in the effect of inflation on growth across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886222
groups in the dispersion of household-specific rates of inflation. Using survey data on inflation expectations, I show that … demographic groups with greater dispersion in experienced inflation also disagree more about future inflation. I argue that these … results can be rationalized from the perspective of an imperfect information model in which idiosyncratic inflation experience …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075121
We study the pricing response of U.S. supermarkets to large demand shocks triggered by labor conflicts, mass population relocation, and shopping sprees around major snowstorms and hurricanes. Our focus on demand shocks is novel in the empirical literature that uses large datasets of individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784151
expected inflation. The inability of the Fed to maintain a credible commitment to low interest rates in the face of increased … government spending and rising inflation led to the Fed-Treasury Accord of March 1951. Following the Accord, the external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787050
model does a good job of accounting for the joint behavior of labor and goods markets, as well as inflation, during the … capital played critical roles in accounting for the small size of the drop in inflation that occurred during the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787055
these two markets with the regulatory environment for banks in Japan, with Japan's overall external financial position, as … environment in Japan, including restraints on interest rates, and possible quantitative restraints, has had an important impact on … States as substitutes for their head offices in extending commercial and industrial loans to Japan-based companies as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368172
Among stock-market-listed Japanese firms in 1994-95, the financial health of the firm's main bank did not significantly affect its investment behavior, after controlling for stock market valuation and cash flow. However, among the subset of bank-dependent firms, investment was lower by over 50...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368185