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this assumption. In this paper, we propose robust procedures for a residual-based test of cointegration when the data are … cointegration tests may be subject to substantial size distortions and standard OLS inference may lead to spurious results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368190
Cointegration requires all the variables in the system to have exact unit roots; accordingly it is conventional for … researchers to test for a unit root in each variable prior to a cointegration analysis. Unfortunately, these unit root tests are … not powerful. Meanwhile, conventional cointegration methods are not at all robust to slight violations of the requirement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368250
We investigate the properties of Johansen's (1988, 1991) maximum eigenvalue and trace tests for cointegration under the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368330
-equation error correction statistic for testing cointegration. Graphs and response surfaces summarize extensive Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368469
from eight developed and six emerging economies, we test the expectations hypothesis using cointegration methods under the … assumption that interest rates are near integrated. If the null hypothesis of no cointegration is rejected, we then test whether … support for cointegration in ten of the fourteen countries we consider, and the cointegrating vector is similar across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712806
Cointegration theory provides a flexible class of statistical models that combine long-run relationships and short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005393737
We derive a definition of linear cointegration for nonlinear stochastic processes using a martingale representation … assumption of linearity. We propose a sequential nonparametric method to test first for cointegration and second for nonlinear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005513026
correlation that suggest a richer underlying structure than just a single common global factor. Furthermore, our results suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368137
In a model that emphasizes technological progress and human capital creator as essential features of economic development, this paper establishes a theoretical link between the financial system and per capita output growth. More specifically, it demonstrates that stock markets--by facilitating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368147
This paper articulates a model of the small, open economy in which the stock market, rather than the bond market, determines domestic aggregate demand. It resembles in many respects the widely adopted dynamic Mundell-Fleming approach, but can, in some circumstances, exhibit output and asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368168