How do traders process and learn from market information, what trading strategies should they use, and how does learning affect the market? This paper proposes a learning model of an articial limit order market with asymmetric information to address these issues. Using a genetic algorithm as a...

This paper empirically assesses heterogeneous expectations in asset pricing. We use a maximum likelihood approach on S&P500 data to estimate a structural model. Our empirical results are consistent with a market populated with fundamentalists and chartists. In addition, agents switch between...

This paper examines the effect of behavioral sentiment in a limit order market when agents are risk averse and arrive in the market with different time horizons. The order submission rules with respect to order type and size are determined by maximizing the expected utility of agents with...

Heterogeneity and evolutionary behaviour of investors are two of the most important characteristics of financial markets. This papers incorporates the adaptive behaviour of agents with heterogeneous beliefs and establishes an evolutionary capital asset pricing model (ECAPM) within the...

In this paper we investigate the dynamics of the traditional cobweb model where producres are risk averse and seek to learn the distribution of asset prices. We consider the subjective estimates of the statistical distribution of the market prices based on L-step backward time series of market...

By taking into account conditional expectations and the dependence of the systematic risk of asset returns on micro- and macro-economic factors, the conditional CAPM with time-varying betas displays superiority in explaining the cross-section of returns and anomalies in a number of empirical...

Inspired by the theoretically oriented dynamic analysis of moving average rules in Chiarella, He and Hommes (CHH) (2006a) model, this paper conducts a dynamic analysis of a microstructure model of continuous double auctions in which the probability of heterogeneous agents to trade is determined...

Within the standard mean-variance framework, this paper provides a procedure to aggregate the heterogeneous beliefs in not only risk preferences and expected payoffs but also variances/covariances into a market consensus belief. Consequently, an asset equilibrium price under heterogeneous...

The paper studies a class of models in which agents' expectations influence the actual dynamics while the expectations themselves are the outcome of some learning processes. Situations of both homogeneous and heterogeneous beliefs are considered. In both cases agents update their expectations by...

This paper studies the dynamics of the traditional cobweb model with risk averse heterogeneous producers who seek to learn the distribution of asset prices using a geometric decay processes (GDP) - the expected mean and variance are estimated as a geometric weighted average of past observations...