Accounting and finance professionals have empirically known that in the long run stock prices are roughly proportional to earnings. However, econometric testing could not been able to verify this expected contribution of earnings to stock prices, thus formed the price-earnings (PE) puzzle in the...

The equity premium forecasting literature provides ample evidence of predictability for both fundamental economic variables and non-fundamental variables, such as time-series momentum. In this paper, we study the role of investor setiment in equity premium predictability. Consistent with the...

We develop a continuous-time asset price model to capture the time series momentum documented recently. The underlying stochastic delay differential system facilitates the analysis of effects of different time horizons used by momentum trading. By studying an optimal asset allocation problem, we...

Expanding the panel model of Pesaran (2006) and Bai (2009), we propose a dynamic panel specification with Bayesian approach to capture the impact of unobservable industry-wide shocks to stock price movements. We employ fundamental accounting information to control company specific shocks and...

In this paper, we present an alternative approach as a suitable framework under which liability driven investments can be valued and hedged. This benchmark approach values both assets and liabilities consistently under the real world probability measure using the best performing portfolio, the...

This paper provides new empirical evidence that price-based momentum indicator variables can enhance the ability of accounting variables in explaining cross-sectional stock returns. We apply both OLS and state-space modelling to a sample of firms included in the Russell 3000 index over the...

We propose a continuous-time heterogeneous agent model consisting of fundamental, momentum, and contrarian traders to explain the significant time series momentum. We show that the market under-reacts in short-run and overreacts in long-run when momentum traders dominate the market, which...

This paper empirically assesses heterogeneous expectations in asset pricing. We use a maximum likelihood approach on S&P500 data to estimate a structural model. Our empirical results are consistent with a market populated with fundamentalists and chartists. In addition, agents switch between...

In the valuation of continuous barrier options the distribution of the first hitting time plays a substantial role. In general, the derivation of a hitting time distribution poses a mathematically challenging problem for continuous but otherwise arbitrary boundary curves. When considering...

Inspired by the theoretically oriented dynamic analysis of moving average rules in Chiarella, He and Hommes (CHH) (2006a) model, this paper conducts a dynamic analysis of a microstructure model of continuous double auctions in which the probability of heterogeneous agents to trade is determined...