In order to explain the incidence of Granger causality between indices from the futures and the underlying cash market, as reported by numerous empirical studies in the literature, it is important to account for mean and volatility (second-order) persistence effects in the data. Further, there...

In this paper we analyze the link between stock market performance and macroe conomic performance for a large number of countries. We study the short-run and long-run relationships and find that stock market returns do not coherently predict future macroeconomic changes for the majority of...

The growing interest in management of credit risk and estimation of default probabilities has given rise to a range of more or less elaborate credit risk models. Hall and Miles (1990) suggests an approach of estimating failure probabilities based solely on stock market prices. The approach has...

In this paper, we investigate the buy and sell arrivl process in a limit order book market. Using an intensity framework allows to estimate the simultaneous buy and sell intensity and to derive a continuous-time measure for the buy-sell pressure in the market. Based on limit order book data from...

Considering the increasingly international banks of today, the health of a country's banking sector is crucial not only to the country's growth and prosperity but also to the rest of the international financial community. Early warning signals of a banking sector in trouble or a pending banking...

The paper discusses the problem of hedging not perfectly replicable contingent claims by using a benchmark, the numerraire portfolio, as reference unit. The proposed concept of benchmarked risk minimization generalizes classical risk minimization, pioneered by Follmer, Sondermann and Schweizer....

The phenomenon of the frequency basis (i.e. a spread applied to one leg of a swap to exchange one oating interest rate for another of a different tenor in the same currency) contradicts textbook no-arbitrage conditions and has become an important feature of interest rate markets since the...

In this paper quasi-closed-form solutions are derived for the price of equity and VIX derivatives under the assumption that the underlying follows a 3/2 process with jumps in the index. The newly-found formulae allow for an empirical analysis to be performed. In the case of the pure-diffusion...

According to the expectations hypothesis, the forward rate is equal to the expected future short rate, an argument that is not supported by most empirical studies that demonstrate the existence of term premiums. An alternative arbitrage-free term structure model for reviewing the expectations...

This article provides a generalized two-firm model of default correlation, based on the structural approach that incorporates interest rate risk. In most structural models default is driven by the firms' asset dynamics. In this article, a two-firm model of default is instead driven by the...