This paper proposes two new unit root tests that are appropriate in the presence of an unknown number of structural breaks. One is based on a single time series and the other is based on a panel of multiple series. For the estimation of the number of breaks and their locations, a simple...

The difference between accommodated evidence (i.e. when evidence is known first and a hypothesis is proposed to explain and fit the observations) and predicted evidence (i.e., when evidence verifies the prediction of a hypothesis formulated before observing the evidence) is investigated....

Some unit root testing situations are more difficult than others. In the case of quarterly industrial production there is not only the seasonal variation that needs to be considered but also the occasionally breaking linear trend. In the current paper we take this as our starting point to...

In a paper published in the Journal of Political Economy, Cummings et al. experimentally compare hypothetical and real-money referenda. They reject the incentive compatibility hypothesis of hypothetical referenda. However, in a comment, Haab et al. claim that the hypothesis cannot be rejected if...

Two small-sample tests for random coefficients in linear regression are derived from the Maximum Likelihood Ratio. The first test has previously been proposed for testing equality of fixed effects, but is here shown to be suitable also for random coefficients. The second test is based on the...

This paper examines power issues for the ADF and four break models (Perron 1989, Zivot and Andrews 1992) when the DGP corresponds to one of the break models. Choosing to test an incorrect break model can but need not greatly reduce the probability of rejecting the null. Break points that are...

If the researcher tests each model in a battery at the a % significance level, the probability that at least one test rejects is generally larger than a %. For five unit-root models, this paper uses Monte Carlo simulation and the inclusion-exclusion principle to show for a %=5% for each test,...

bel and Eberly (1999) show that the effect of uncertainty on long run capital accumulation is ambiguous in a real options model with irreversible investment. We show that a higher level of uncertainty tends to reduce expected capital stock levels in a model with strictly convex adjustment costs....

This paper presents unit-root test results for real exchange rates in ten Central and Eastern European transition countries during 1993:01-2003:12. Because of the shift from controlled to market economies and the accompanying crises, failed policy regimes and changes in exchange rate regimes,...

In this paper we discuss the differences between the average marginal effect and the marginal effect of the average individual in sample selection models, estimated by Heckman's two step procedure. We show that the bias that emerges as a consequence of interchanging them, could be very...