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problem of online estimation of current values of w = w(T) and a = a(T) from the observations SI , ... ,ST. We propose an … adaptive method of estimation which does not use any information about time homogeneity of the obscured process. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582392
Multivariate Volatility Models belong to the class of nonlinear models for financial data. Here we want to focus on multivariate GARCH models. These models assume that the variance of the innovation distribution follows a time dependent process conditional on information which is generated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615423
We analyze daily changes of two log foreign exchange (FX) rates involving the Deutsche Mark (DEM) for the period 1975 - 1998, namely FX-rates measured against the US dollar (USD) and the Japanese yen (JPY). Ta account for volatility e1ustering we fit a GARCH(l,l)-model with leptokurtic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616784
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919426
This paper proposes a procedure for testing alternative specifications of the short term interest rate's dynamics which takes into account that according to some restrictions the interest rate is nonstationary, i.e. the traditional test statistic has a non-standard distribution. Moreover, we do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578570
Daily returns of financial assets are frequently found to exhibit positive autocorrelation at lag 1. When specifying a linear AR(l) conditional mean, one may ask how this predictability affects option prices. We investigate the dependence of option prices on autoregressive dynamics under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580460
evidence for a velocity-volatility linkage. However the estimation of volatility-augmented money demand functions reveals that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632601
Based on daily VDAX data this paper analyzes the factors governing the movements of implied volatilities of options on the German stock index DAX. Using Principal Components Analysis over the sample period from 1996 to 1997, we derive common factors representing "shift" and "curvature" of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612026
consumption goods recorded in Germany during 1995, a low inflation period. We find a significant positive correlation between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612033
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001918978