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This paper argues that if policymakers seek to enhance global liquidity, then the international community must provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461279
In this paper I focus on two specific hazard areas in the transition from Stage Two to Stage Three of European economic and monetary union (EMU), as well as on some key problems of Stage Three that EMU's monetary and fiscal structures appear ill-prepared to handle. The transitional hazards are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471509
An earlier paper by the author investigated the quantitative implications, for the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies, of a model treating the determination of long-term interest rates by explicitly imposing the market clearing equilibrium condition that the quantity of bonds issued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478225
The object of this paper is to bring to bear on financial-non financial interactions a richer approach to modeling the determination of long-term interest rates. in a series of previous papers. I have developed an alternative model based explicitly on the truism that any factor affecting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478782
Prevalent thinking about liquidity traps suggests that the perfect substitutability of money and bonds at a zero short … benefits and facilitate the use of powerful fiscal policy tools even in a liquidity trap. In this paper, we consider an … alternative approach that has been suggested for use in a liquidity trap, a scheduled increase in consumption tax rates. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468404
variation in the supply of central bank liabilities. In effect, the announcement effect has displaced the liquidity effect as …-system, or Japan. Structural estimates of banks' reserve demand, at a frequency corresponding to the required reserve maintenance … period, show no interest elasticity for the U.S. or the Euro-system (but some elasticity for Japan). The chapter next …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462492
during the period of Japan's bubble economy and subsequent stagnation. The yen experienced epic gyrations over that period … the price of oil. Since the mid-1990s, the yen's real exchange rate has generally followed a depreciating trend and Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463831
We show that the when one takes into account the global equilibrium ramifications of an unwinding of the US current account deficit, currently estimated at 5.4% of GDP, the potential collapse of the dollar becomes considerably larger--more than 50% larger--than our previous estimates (Obstfeld...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467820
What difference does it make, and for whom, whether the nonperforming debts of emerging market borrowers are restructured? This paper begins by positing a set of counterfactual conditions under which restructuring would not matter, and then shows how several ways in which the actual world of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471039
A review of major lines of thinking about developments in the 1980s bearing on the likelihood of a financial crisis in the United States supports four principal conclusions:<br>First, financial crises have historically played a major role in large fluctuations in business activity. A financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475624