Showing 1 - 10 of 46
This paper argues that if policymakers seek to enhance global liquidity, then the international community must provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461279
In this paper I focus on two specific hazard areas in the transition from Stage Two to Stage Three of European economic and monetary union (EMU), as well as on some key problems of Stage Three that EMU's monetary and fiscal structures appear ill-prepared to handle. The transitional hazards are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471509
Prevalent thinking about liquidity traps suggests that the perfect substitutability of money and bonds at a zero short … benefits and facilitate the use of powerful fiscal policy tools even in a liquidity trap. In this paper, we consider an … alternative approach that has been suggested for use in a liquidity trap, a scheduled increase in consumption tax rates. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468404
during the period of Japan's bubble economy and subsequent stagnation. The yen experienced epic gyrations over that period … the price of oil. Since the mid-1990s, the yen's real exchange rate has generally followed a depreciating trend and Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463831
This paper brings out the special mechanism through which taxes influence bilateral FDI, when investment decisions are two-fold in the presence of fixed setup flows costs. For each pair of source-host countries, there is a set of factors determining whether aggregate FDI flows will occur at all,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466680
We show that the when one takes into account the global equilibrium ramifications of an unwinding of the US current account deficit, currently estimated at 5.4% of GDP, the potential collapse of the dollar becomes considerably larger--more than 50% larger--than our previous estimates (Obstfeld...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467820
liquidity shocks, the liquidation price they can get will be lower when buyers know that they have more information on … expectation of future liquidity problems export relatively more FPI than FDI, and (2) this effect strengthens as the source … source countries from 1985 to 2004. Our key variable is the predicted severity of liquidity shock, as proxied by episodes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462924
country. Based on a theoretical model, we predict that (1) source countries with higher probability of aggregate liquidity … 140 source countries from 1985 to 2004. Our key variable is the probability of an aggregate liquidity crisis, estimated … that the probability of a liquidity crisis has a strong effect on the composition of foreign equity investment. Furthermore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464879
We develop a model that captures important features of debt crises of the Brazilian type. Its applicability to Brazil lies in the fact that (1) in Brazil the macro fundamentals were sound (e.g., a primary surplus, a relatively low debt/GDP ratio, etc.); and (2) in the Brazilian case the trigger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469498
We develop a stylised model of multiple equilibria, with country risk spreads at the focus of the analysis. Fears that the country default on its debt triggers a reversal in the direction of inflows of international financial capital raise interest-rate spreads and thus the cost of servicing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469550