Business surveys are an important element in the analysis of the short-term economic situation because of the timeliness and nature of the information they convey. Especially, surveys are often involved in econometric models in order to provide an early assessment of the current state of the...

In this article, we specify the different approaches followed by the economists and the financial economists in order to use chaos theory. We explain the main difference using this theory with other research domains like the mathematics and the physics. Finally, we present tools necessary for...

We are settling a longstanding quarrel in quantitative finance by proving the existence of trends in financial time series thanks to a theorem due to P. Cartier and Y. Perrin, which is expressed in the language of nonstandard analysis (Integration over finite sets, F. & M. Diener (Eds):...

We suggest a new model-free definition of the beta coefficient, which plays an important rôle in systematic risk management. This setting, which is based on the existence of trends for financial time series via nonstandard analysis (Fliess M., Join C.: A mathematical proof of the existence of...

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of the US real effective exchange rate by capturing nonlinearity and long memory features. In this context, we used the family of fractionally integrated STAR (FISTAR) models proposed by van Dijk, Franses and Paap (2002) to the case when the...

An econometric model which has first been estimated on medal wins at Summer Olympics and has predicted 88% of medal distribution at Beijing Games 2008, is revisited for Winter Olympics. After changing some variables to take into account the winter sports specificity, the model is estimated again...