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consequences. By properly assessing the outcomes involved - especially those concerning human life - economic theory of choice … under uncertainty is expected to help people take the best decision. However, the widely used expected utility theory values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645480
This chapter of a collective book aims at presenting the basics of decision making under risk. We first define notions of risk and increasing risk and recall definitions and classifications (that are valid independently of any representation) of behavior under risk. We then review the classical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738471
This paper proposes an experiment about the attitude toward probabilities on a population of portfolio managers. Its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738619
Since von Neuman and Morgenstern's (1944) contribution to game theory, a rational decision maker will rank risky … the way they do it is incoherent (Dubois and Prade (1988)). A familiar object in fuzzy set theory is the one of necessity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750510
In this paper we want to explore an argumentative pattern that provides a normative justification for expected utility functions grounded on empirical evidence, showing how it worked in three different episodes of their development. The argument claims that we should prudentially maximize our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750601
comparable prospects, i.e. those which exhibit the same canonical expected utility. This leads to a fully choice-based theory of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025681
Although it is endowed with many interesting properties, the theory of decision-making under risk by Loomes and Sugden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025889
This paper elaborates an axiomatic treatment of the Subjective Expected Utility (SEU) model that dispenses with the assumption of an exogenous state space. Within a state-free description of uncertainty and alternatives, axioms for preferences are formulated and shown to characterize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025910
Information about traffic conditions has traditionally been conveyed to drivers by radio and variable message signs, and more recently via the Internet and Advanced Traveler Information Systems. This has spurred research on how travelers respond to information, how much they are willing to pay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793408
We consider a decision maker facing uncertainty which behaves as a subjective expected utility maximizer. The value of information is traditionnaly captured as a greater expected utility the decision maker can achieve by selecting a best strategy as information arrives. We deal with the limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793581