Showing 1 - 10 of 47
This paper relaxes a fundamental hypothesis commonly accepted in the expectation formation literature: expectations are, unchangingly, either rational or generated by one of the three simple extrapolative, regressive or adaptive processes. Using expectations survey data provided by Consensus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008789553
We present in this paper a method to extract fair prices from observable prices in an illiquid market. The dynamics of fair prices have a general form encompassing random walks. In fact, only a part of a movement in price is assumed to reflect fundamental changes, the rest is considered to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549072
This paper shows consistency of a two step estimation of the factors in a dynamic approximate factor model when the panel of time series is large ( large). In the first step, the parameters of the model are estimated from an OLS on principal components. In the second step, the factors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898831
No-arbitrage macro-finance models use variance decompositions to gauge the extent of association between the macro variables and yields. We show that results generated by this approach are sensitive to the order of variables in the recursive identification scheme. In a four-factor model, one may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010774284
No-arbitrage macro-finance models use variance decompositions to gauge the extent of association between the macro variables and yields. We show that results generated by this approach are sensitive to the order of variables in the recursive identification scheme. In a four-factor model, one may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010570527
This paper shows consistency of a two step estimation of the factors in a dynamic approximate factor model when the panel of time series is large ( large). In the first step, the parameters of the model are estimated from an OLS on principal components. In the second step, the factors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820665
The aim of this article is to study the vulnerability of the New-Caledonian economy from the analysis of the historical trajectories of genuine saving and its component linked to natural capital. To this end, we calculate New-Caledonia's genuine saving, in accordance with the World Bank's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821147
In this work, we use the VAR and space-state methodology to analyze how the recent developments in 20 European countries have modified the dynamics of structural shocks. Our results confirm a visible progress in (predominated output fluctuations) supply shocks convergence between the CEECs and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008791757
their income - the higher the risk aversion, the more stable the cooperatives and the lower the segregation. Learning can … high or low-risk, and while they are learning, they tend to create cooperatives that can last. Eventually we worked on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933864
private agents are gradually learning their uncertain environment. When agents update their beliefs about the parameters that … under adaptive learning are significantly larger than under rational expectations. In our benchmark case calibrated using US … data on leverage, debt-to-GDP and land value-to-GDP ratios for 1996Q1-2008Q4, learning amplifies leverage shocks by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933890