Showing 1 - 10 of 47
This paper relaxes a fundamental hypothesis commonly accepted in the expectation formation literature: expectations are, unchangingly, either rational or generated by one of the three simple extrapolative, regressive or adaptive processes. Using expectations survey data provided by Consensus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008789553
This paper shows consistency of a two step estimation of the factors in a dynamic approximate factor model when the panel of time series is large ( large). In the first step, the parameters of the model are estimated from an OLS on principal components. In the second step, the factors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820665
The aim of this article is to study the vulnerability of the New-Caledonian economy from the analysis of the historical trajectories of genuine saving and its component linked to natural capital. To this end, we calculate New-Caledonia's genuine saving, in accordance with the World Bank's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821147
No-arbitrage macro-finance models use variance decompositions to gauge the extent of association between the macro variables and yields. We show that results generated by this approach are sensitive to the order of variables in the recursive identification scheme. In a four-factor model, one may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010774284
This paper shows consistency of a two step estimation of the factors in a dynamic approximate factor model when the panel of time series is large ( large). In the first step, the parameters of the model are estimated from an OLS on principal components. In the second step, the factors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898831
We present in this paper a method to extract fair prices from observable prices in an illiquid market. The dynamics of fair prices have a general form encompassing random walks. In fact, only a part of a movement in price is assumed to reflect fundamental changes, the rest is considered to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549072
No-arbitrage macro-finance models use variance decompositions to gauge the extent of association between the macro variables and yields. We show that results generated by this approach are sensitive to the order of variables in the recursive identification scheme. In a four-factor model, one may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010570527
In this work, we use the VAR and space-state methodology to analyze how the recent developments in 20 European countries have modified the dynamics of structural shocks. Our results confirm a visible progress in (predominated output fluctuations) supply shocks convergence between the CEECs and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008791757
This paper applies a social learning model to the optimal consumption rule of Allen & Carroll (2001), and delivers … results in the literature, both in terms of speed of convergence and parsimony of the learning model. The learning model … exhibits several appealing features: it is frugal, easy to apply to a range of learning objectives, requires few procedures and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821366
are in the dark about what others are doing and how their own payo s are a ected. This paper analyzes learning behavior in … identify two key features of the players' learning dynamics. First, if a player's realized payoff increases he is less inclined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738969