In this article, we investigate conditional mean and variance forecasts using a dynamic model following a k-factor GIGARCH process. We are particularly interested in calculating the conditional variance of the prediction error. We apply this method to electricity prices and test spot prices...

In this article, we investigate conditional mean and variance forecasts using a dynamic model following a k-factor GIGARCH process. We are particularly interested in calculating the conditional variance of the prediction error. We apply this method to electricity prices and test spot prices...

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the extreme values of a stochastic volatility model when the noise follows a generalized error distribution extreme. We provide a Monte Carlo experiment to illustrate th choice of the assumptions. We deal also with the finite sample behaviour of the...