The aim of this paper is to test whether a stable long-term relationship exists between oil prices and the US effective exchange rate, expressed in real terms. To this end, weproceed to a cointegration and causality study between the two variables. Our results indicate that causality runs from...

Trade deficits and surpluses are sometimes attributed to intentionally low or high exchange rate levels. The impact of exchange rate levels on trade has been much debated but the large body of existing empirical literature does not suggest an unequivocally clear picture of the trade impacts of...

This paper analyzes the impact of capital inflows and the exchange rate regime on the real effective exchange rate. A wide range of developing countries (42 countries) is considered with estimation based on panel cointegration techniques. The results show that both public and private inflows...

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of the US real effective exchange rate by capturing nonlinearity and long memory features. In this context, we used the family of fractionally integrated STAR (FISTAR) models proposed by van Dijk, Franses and Paap (2002) to the case when the...

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of the US real effective exchange rate by capturing nonlinearity and long memory features. In this context, we use the family of fractionally integrated STAR (FISTAR) models proposed by van Dijk, Franses and Paap (2002) in the case when the...

Deforestation is a phenomenon that has largely been concentrated in the developing world. We construct a theoretical model of deforestation that focuses on the factors affecting the incentives to transform forested land into agricultural land. We show that: (i) lower discount rates and stronger...

Reducing transaction costs and the need for international reserves is a primary objective to the establishment of regional payment agreements. Another objective, especially in the case of Latin America where the Ecuadorian promoters of the Bank of the South and the New Architecture are planning...

This paper investigates both the dynamic and steady-state effects of unanticipated permanent and temporary terms of trade shocks within a two-good small open economy with habit formation and capital adjustment costs. A permanent terms of trade worsening induces a deficit-surplus current account...

This paper examines the relationships between the CAC40 index, the Dow Jones index and the Euro/USD exchange rate using daily data over the period 1999-2008. We find that these variables are I(1) nonstationary series, but they are fractionally cointegrated: equilibrium errors exhibit slow mean...

This paper relaxes a fundamental hypothesis commonly accepted in the expectation formation literature: expectations are, unchangingly, either rational or generated by one of the three simple extrapolative, regressive or adaptive processes. Using expectations survey data provided by Consensus...