Showing 1 - 10 of 18
. Finally, the predictive accuracy of the HAR-RV model is tested against GARCH specifications using one-step-ahead forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794324
This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have a positive and mostly significant impact on future volatility. This result becomes apparent once volatility is separated into its continuous and discontinuous component using estimators which are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821082
This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have a positive and mostly significant impact on future volatility. This result becomes apparent once volatility is separated into its continuous and discontinuous component using estimators which are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899244
High frequency data are often used to construct proxies for the daily volatility in discrete time volatility models. This paper introduces a calculus for such proxies, making it possible to compare and optimize them. The two distinguishing features of the approach are (1) a simple continuous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738760
This article investigates the modelling of the convenience yield in the European carbon market by using daily and intradaily measures of volatility. The convenience yield stems from differences in spot and futures prices, and can explain why firms hold inventories. The main findings are that (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793494
Inspired by the recent literature on aggregation theory, we aim at relating the long range correlation of the stocks return volatility to the heterogeneity of the investors' expectations about the level of the future volatility. Based on a semi-parametric model of investors' anticipations, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794780
horizons. These models are based on different and sometimes competing theoretical concepts. They belong either to GARCH or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738497
This paper o¤ers to investigate both the Friedman's and Mishkin's hypotheses on the consequences of inflation on output growth. To this end, we first base these hypotheses in a unified framework. Second, in an empirical work based on OECD countries, we distinguish between short-medium and long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738523
nonparametric long run component and a unit multivariate GARCH short run dynamic component. We suggest various kernel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898810
: the Logistic Smooth Transition GARCH model and the Markov-Switching GARCH models. Thanks to simulation experiments, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933939