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determinants are variance risk premia, implied volatility and the riskless interest rate. We find that estimated coefficients for … power for the differences in the premia is approximately 64%. Implied Volatility and PRV by themselves also have substantial … amount of the variation in the data. We therefore conclude that variance risk premia, volatility and the risk free rate are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821297
High frequency data are often used to construct proxies for the daily volatility in discrete time volatility models … features of the approach are (1) a simple continuous time extension of discrete time volatility models and (2) an abstract … definition of volatility proxy. The theory is applied to eighteen years worth of S&P 500 index data. It is used to construct a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738760
intradaily measures of volatility. The convenience yield stems from differences in spot and futures prices, and can explain why … price levels, moving averages and carbon futures realized volatility measures as exogenous regressors. These results are of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793494
issue by characterizing the conditional and unconditional distributions of the realized volatility for the 2008 futures … volatility measures from naive, kernel-based and subsampling estimators are used to obtain inferences about the distributional … and dynamic properties of the ECX emissions futures volatility. The distribution of the daily realized volatility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794324
return volatility to the heterogeneity of the investors' expectations about the level of the future volatility. Based on a … heterogeneity parameters and the auto-covariance/auto-correlation functions of the realized volatility. We report different … and justify the fact that the volatility exhibits significantly longer memory during the phases of speculative bubble than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794780
We analyze a new blue chips (large caps) stock index for France from 1854 to 1998. We detail its methodology and show that it differs profoundly from earlier indices, and that it is more consistent with the French financial and economic history. We suggest this result casts some doubt on many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738877
We analyze a new blue chips (large caps) stock index for France from 1854 to 1998. We detail its methodology and show that it differs profoundly from earlier indices, and that it is more consistent with the French financial and economic history. We suggest this result casts some doubt on many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792271
In this article, we specify the different approaches followed by the economists and the financial economists in order to use chaos theory. We explain the main difference using this theory with other research domains like the mathematics and the physics. Finally, we present tools necessary for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738474
This paper focuses on the use of dynamical chaotic systems in Economics and Finance. In these fields, researchers employ different methods from those taken by mathematicians and physicists. We discuss this point. Then, we present statistical tools and problems which are innovative and can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738625
We investigate some statistical properties of the new k-factor Gegenbauer process with heteroscedastic noises One of the goals of the paper is to give tools which permit to use this model to explain the behaviour of certain data sets in finance and in macroeconomics. Monte Carlo experiments are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008788958