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In this paper, we investigate the impact of monetary policy signals stemming from the ECB Council and the FOMC on the intradaily Euro-dollar volatility, using high-frequency data (five minutes frequency). For that, we estimate an AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model, which integrates a polynomials structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750789
Trade deficits and surpluses are sometimes attributed to intentionally low or high exchange rate levels. The impact of exchange rate levels on trade has been much debated but the large body of existing empirical literature does not suggest an unequivocally clear picture of the trade impacts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899210
A robust prediction across a wide range of open-economy macroeconomic models is that an unanticipated increase in public spending in a given country appreciates it currency in real terms. This result, however, contradicts the findings of a number of recent empirical studies, which instead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401096
Based on panel data of 58 countries, of which 22 Inflation Targeters and 36 non Inflation Targeters, over the period … 1980-2003, this paper highlights the effect of Inflation Targeting – IT- on Fiscal Discipline –FD-. We make four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794278
/implicit inflation targeting and flexible exchange rate regimes. The paper identifies different subperiods concerning crucial monetary …-through, significant indirect and direct influence to the exchange rate as potential obstacles for successful inflation targeting in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792108
In this article, we examine the intradaily Euro-dollar exchange rate volatility persistence result from the dissymmetric impact of monetary policy signals stemming from the ECB Council and the FOMC. A model is constructed by extending the AR(1)-GARCH (1,1) to an exponential process EGARCH (1,1),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750845
central banks' monetary policy must be credible if the authorities want to curb inflation. A second view is that central banks … set their monetary policy by using all the information relevant for inflation and output projections. In Europe, a … controversy has emerged about the role of monetary aggregates as useful indicators of future inflation and output. On one hand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793951
Are emerging economies implementing inflation targeting (IT) with a perfectly flexible exchange-rate arrangement, as … applying this method to 19 inflation-targeting emerging economies, I find that the probability of those countries having a … those of pegged currencies) is 20%. The results also provide evidence of two different monetary regimes under inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025943
The aim of this paper is to test whether a stable long-term relationship exists between oil prices and the US effective exchange rate, expressed in real terms. To this end, weproceed to a cointegration and causality study between the two variables. Our results indicate that causality runs from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008789406
This paper proposes theoretical and empirical analysis of the effect of capital controls and alternative exchange rate regimes on the patterns of speculative capital. I argue that the exchange rate regime and its interaction with the monetary regime can explain the patterns of speculative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738966