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La industrialización de los recursos naturales en el marco de las nuevas estrategias económicas en América Latina
Antolín, María José Paz; Gutiérrez, David Silva - HAL - 2013
La implementación de "nuevas" estrategias económicas en América Latina se ve fuertemente condicionada por la herencia neoliberal generando una dialéctica caracterizada por elementos de cambio y de continuidad. Partiendo de este supuesto, nuestro trabajo se centra en analizar el impacto de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010700533
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LIMITS TO GROWTH AND STOCHASTICS
Bouleau, Nicolas - HAL - 2012
The aim of this article is to use probabilistic ideas to study predictive reasoning based on hypotheses and models, but without using Ito calculus, without writing any stochastic differential equations, in fact without writing any formulas at all. The aim is to extract from the study of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899270
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Energy and Capital in a New-Keynesian Framework
Vasconez, Verónica Acurio; Giraud, Gaël; Isaac, Florent Mc - HAL - 2012
The economic implications of oil price shocks have been extensively studied since the oil price shocks of the 1970s …-known stylized facts: 1) the stagflationary impact of an oil price shock, together with 2) two possible reactions of real wages … of an oil-importing economy where oil cannot be stored and where fossil fuels are used in two different ways: One part of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025540
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El cooperativismo como nueva forma de integración: ALBA-Energía
Soto, Dani José Villalobos; Oliveira, María Fátima … - HAL - 2013
Desestabilización y la dificultad para cumplir con la cuota de suministro de petróleo en los países de América latina y del Caribe han generado en estas economías evidentes y consuetudinarias crisis económicas que difícilmente enfrentan. Sin embargo, estos países están en la búsqueda...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820568
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Buoyant Capital Spending and Worries over Real Appreciation: Cold Facts from Algeria
Kpodar, Kangni; Loko, Boileau; Diallo, Oumar - HAL - 2011
The Government of Algeria has pursed a relatively expansionary fiscal policy in recent years, thanks to rising oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805952
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The Health Consequences of Mozambican Civil War : an Anthropometric Approach
Domingues, Patrick - HAL - 2010
Survivors are the ones who bear the burden of reconstruction, thus the examination of the costs of civil conflicts to survivors health is crucial for the design of post-war economic policies. This paper investigates this question for the Mozambican civil war, using an original geo-referenced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549067
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Drought and Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa
Couttenier, Mathieu; Soubeyran, Raphaël - HAL - 2011
This paper contributes to the heated debate on the link between climate and civil war. We exploit a large dataset of a drought index commonly used in hydrology, the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). The PDSI is based on a hydrological model and is a cumulative measure that takes account of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010775939
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A Curse or a Blessing? Natural Resources in a Multiple Growth Regimes Analysis
Konte, Maty - HAL - 2012
The literature on the impact of an abundance of natural resources on economic performance remains inconclusive. In this paper we consider the possibility that countries may follow different growth regimes, and test the hypothesis that whether natural resources are a curse or a blessing depends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933874
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On Political Regime Changes in Arab Countries
Boucekkine, Raouf; Prieur, Fabien; Puzon, Klarizze - HAL - 2014
We develop a dynamic game to provide with a theory of Arab spring-type events. We consider two interacting groups, the elite vs the citizens, two political regimes, dictatorship vs a freer regime, the possibility to switch from the first to the second regime as a consequence of a revolution, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933882
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The Dynamics of Lobbying under Uncertainty: On Political Liberalization in Arab Countries
Boucekkine, Raouf; Prieur, Fabien; Puzon, Klarizze - HAL - 2013
to the latter. In contrast to the benchmark model, we introduce uncertainty. We consider the typical case of an Arab oil … exporter country where oil rents are fiercely controlled by the conservative elite. We assume that the higher the oil rents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933899