Showing 1 - 10 of 102
Forecasting in a risky situation is a very important function for managers to assist in decision making. One of the fluctuated markets in stock exchange market is chemical market. In this research the target item for prediction is PET (Poly Ethylene Terephthalate) which is the raw material for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899158
Nowadays, forecasting what will happen in economic environments plays a crucial role. We showed that in PET market how a neuro-fuzzy hybrid model can assist the managers in decision-making. In this research, the target is to forecast the same item through another intelligent tool which obeys the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010692168
market depth) or increase (due to more speculation) volatility. As the identification of these effects ultimately remains an … empirical question, we use daily data from April 2005 to April 2008 to document volatility behavior in the EU ETS. By … instrumenting various GARCH models, endogenous break tests, and rolling window estimations, our results overall suggest that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794422
This paper investigates Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall for CAC 40, S&P 500, Wheat and Crude Oil indexes during the 2008 financial crisis. We show an underestimation of the risk of loss for the unconditional VaR models as compared with the conditional models. This underestimation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399186
We decompose volatility of a stock market index both in time and scale using wavelet filters and design a probabilistic … stock market and for the detection of financial crises. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750636
This article unearths the determinants of the volatility of aggregate and firm-level production proxied by output and … volatility. Similarly to their conclusions, I establish that firm volatility is not driven by a compositional bias in my sample …-level and aggregate level volatility due in part to the 2007 financial crisis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820876
L'anticipation dans le domaine du végétal est primordiale. Les outils traditionnels du reporting et de suivi (tableau de bord, ...) permettent de mettre en évidence d'éventuels écarts par rapport aux objectifs. Les stratégies de correction peuvent paradoxalement conduire à aggraver la...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930157
, separating episodes of crises from those of growth. Performance is measured by the output response following recessions, rather … developing countries in the aftermath of banking and financial crises, often following significant liberalizations. In contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549103
mutations du capitalisme d'un ordre productif à l'autre en relations aux rythmes longs Kondratiev et aux grandes crises (fin du … d'un mode de régulation adapté à son caractère global. Les crises qui devraient s'ensuivre seront porteuses d …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008789483
la même. Il s'agit pour lui d'élaborer une théorie des crises commerciales tout en écartant les idées qu …'avaient soutenues Malthus et Sismondi. L'origine des crises ne doit pas être cherchée dans une accumulation trop rapide du capital mais …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008790349