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consequences. By properly assessing the outcomes involved - especially those concerning human life - economic theory of choice … under uncertainty is expected to help people take the best decision. However, the widely used expected utility theory values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645480
This paper proposes an experiment about the attitude toward probabilities on a population of portfolio managers. Its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738619
The classical expected utility model of decision under risk (von Neumann-Morgenstern, 1944) has been criticized from an experimental point of view (Allais' paradox) as well as for its restrictive lack of explanatory power. The Rank-Dependent Expected Utility model (RDU) model (Quiggin, 1982)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738473
Since von Neuman and Morgenstern's (1944) contribution to game theory, a rational decision maker will rank risky … the way they do it is incoherent (Dubois and Prade (1988)). A familiar object in fuzzy set theory is the one of necessity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750510
In this paper we want to explore an argumentative pattern that provides a normative justification for expected utility functions grounded on empirical evidence, showing how it worked in three different episodes of their development. The argument claims that we should prudentially maximize our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750601
In this paper, a fully choice-based theory of disappointment is developed. It encompasses, as particular cases, EU … theory, Gul's theory of disappointment (1991) and the models of Loomes and Sugden (1986). According to the new theory, the … the utility of the realized outcome and its expected value. However, unlike the lottery-dependent approach, the theory is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010635227
comparable prospects, i.e. those which exhibit the same canonical expected utility. This leads to a fully choice-based theory of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025681
Although it is endowed with many interesting properties, the theory of decision-making under risk by Loomes and Sugden …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025889
This paper elaborates an axiomatic treatment of the Subjective Expected Utility (SEU) model that dispenses with the assumption of an exogenous state space. Within a state-free description of uncertainty and alternatives, axioms for preferences are formulated and shown to characterize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025910
This chapter of a collective book aims at presenting the basics of decision making under risk. We first define notions of risk and increasing risk and recall definitions and classifications (that are valid independently of any representation) of behavior under risk. We then review the classical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738471