The 2007 financial crises has brought to eminence and a long overdue recognition to the ideas of Hyman P. Minsky who is a post-Keynesian authority on monetary theory and financial institutions. He had extensively studied the economic fluctuations and recurring instability of the financial system...

The 2007/08 financial crisis results in two major problems that issue difficult challenges for the economic theory and policy. The first challenge is the rise of unemployment notwithstanding growing imbalances of budget deficits. The second is the monetary and financial instability threatening...

We present a methodology to assess the profitability of a capital intensive industry over a business cycle and to make projections of profitability for different investment strategies under various hypothetical scenarios for environmental and competition policies. The methodology is applied to...

In this paper, we aim at assessing Markov-switching and threshold models in their ability to identify turning points of economic cycles. By using vintage data that are updated on a monthly basis, we compare their ability to detect ex-post the occurrence of turning points of the classical...

We provide a quantitative assessment of welfare costs of fluctuations in a search model with financial frictions. The matching process in the labor market leads positive shocks to reduce unemployment less than negative shocks increase it. We show that the magnitude of this non-linearity is...

This article extends earlier efforts at redating the US business cycles for the 1790–1928 period using the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) constructed by Johnson and Williamson (2007). We compare the alternative chronology with those of the NBER and Davis (2006) as well as Romer (1994) for...

This article explores the role of trend shocks in explaining the specificities of business cycles in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries using the methodology introduced by Aguiar and Gopinath (2007) [Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle Is the Trend Journal of Political Economy 115(1)]....

We consider a threshold time series model in order to take into account some stylized facts of the business cycle such as asymmetries in the phases. Our aim is to point out some thresholds under (over) which a signal of turning point could be given. First, we introduce the various threshold...

We consider a threshold time series model in order to take into account some stylized facts of the industrial business cycle such as asymmetries in the phase of the cycle. Our aim is to point out some thresholds under (over) which a signal of turning point could be given. First, we introduce the...

This paper attempts to analyze the relationships between the ASEAN-5 countries' business cycles. We examine the nature of business cycles correlation trying to disentangle between regional spillover effects (expansion and recession phases among the ASEAN-5 are correlated) and global spillovers...