Showing 1 - 10 of 97
We present a methodology to assess the profitability of a capital intensive industry over a business cycle and to make projections of profitability for different investment strategies under various hypothetical scenarios for environmental and competition policies. The methodology is applied to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821134
In this paper, we aim at assessing Markov-switching and threshold models in their ability to identify turning points of economic cycles. By using vintage data that are updated on a monthly basis, we compare their ability to detect ex-post the occurrence of turning points of the classical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738487
We provide a quantitative assessment of welfare costs of fluctuations in a search model with financial frictions. The matching process in the labor market leads positive shocks to reduce unemployment less than negative shocks increase it. We show that the magnitude of this non-linearity is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025686
This article extends earlier efforts at redating the US business cycles for the 1790–1928 period using the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) constructed by Johnson and Williamson (2007). We compare the alternative chronology with those of the NBER and Davis (2006) as well as Romer (1994) for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855839
, especially the excess volatility of consumption in SSA countries. Our results suggest a strong relationship between the weight of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793580
This article unearths the determinants of the volatility of aggregate and firm-level production proxied by output and … volatility. Similarly to their conclusions, I establish that firm volatility is not driven by a compositional bias in my sample …-level and aggregate level volatility due in part to the 2007 financial crisis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820876
instruments to manage food price volatility. Many developing countries recently pursued price regulation policies, but the … policy to lower food price volatility does not depend on the nature of the policy instrument only, but also on the … be key factor influencing the degree of price volatility. Applied to trade policies, this consistency is defined by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821035
-end varieties has two macroeconomic implications for countries. First, the sources of a country's aggregate exports volatility are …-speci c demand shocks, and thus their volatility on a given market. However, their lower sensitivity to distance allows for a … greater geographic diversi cation of their exports, which in turn reduces aggregate volatility through a portfolio e ect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821212
This paper studies empirically the link between remittances and growth volatility by examining the impact of … of moment (GMM) technique for a sample of 63 countries over the 1980-2004 period. The volatility of terms of trade and … inflation is used to proxy for real and monetary volatility, respectively. The results show that the impact of remittances on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738454
This paper investigates the relationship between trust and macroeconomic volatility. In a cross section of countries … changes in inherited trust over the XXth century to show that increasing trust also decreases volatility across time. Thus … reduces investment volatility but not public expenditure volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738740